I sat in my study this morning doing as I usually do, monitoring the news and reviewing various reports that I had not had time during the course of the week. It is Friday, February 2, 2011. Having watched the Egyptian situation unfolding after President Mubarak refused once again to resign, had brought about some anxiety in as mush that there was now a real threat of peaceful demonstrations in Ciro might turn violent as the people threatened to ratchet up the pressure. They marched on the Ministry, the TV station run by the government, which was spewing out the Mubarak position. They were outside the palace, demonstrating there as well. While the military had made it clear they had no intention of attacking the people, but they in turn asked demonstrators to follow they guidance as well. They had an obligation to protect government property. It was however, all too obvious that this thing could blow out of control at any moment.
But there was something that might change all that. There was something that could happen that turn a moment of anger and near hysteria in to a moment of sheer celebration. That moment came in the middle of the night for Egyptians and late morning here in Michigan, on the other side of the world. Suddenly, almost without warning, the Vice President of Egypt came to the microphones and announced that President Hosni Mubarak had stepped aside, and turn all power over to the military.
Result: Instatainious celebration!
“This is in fact the military taking over,” said political analyst Diaa Rashwan after Mubarak stepped down leaving the reins of power to the armed forces.
Army troops have been treated like heroes by protesters angry over the brutal treatment by the police. Backed by military vehicles, tanks and armed personal carriers, and guns with real bullets, they would not attack their own people. After all, friends, relatives, and even parents might be out there. So it was good that Kaos was avoided, and celebration prevailed.
However, there are serious questions that rise as a result of the Mubarak departure. Having turned all authority over to the military, the remains as to how a democratic transition will actually take place. The Constitution for example, requires elections within 60 days. It is however, near impossible to set up elections with real candidates, and prepare the paving to democracy. There are a lot of ol’ dogs still at their helm. they run major businesses, that have a lot to do with economic stability. Are they all that willing to step back from the riches and the power that comes with their position. Then there is the taste of power, real power, what will the military do when they realize that they are actually charged with a transition that equates to themselves having to step back and allow government to reorganize a new democratic Egypt.
And there are those demonstrators that understand these issues and concerns. They say “We can not stop now, we can not and must not stand down now, we can not just clear the square, go home and act as if all is well”. In fcat this whole thing could become another military dictatorship, and the troops could once again drop the hammer hard, and we are thus thrust into a situation that no one wanted. They feel therefore that they must keep their guard up. They must now protect what they have won, and stand guard over their victory.
A new government, new ideas, this thing called Democracy, a marching people demanding change, is a dream that seems to be coming true. But, there are those who ask, and I think with some legitimacy, who is waiting in the wings. The Military, Radical Islamics, or some other faction waiting for their moment to pounce, and realizing their moment is now.
Only time will tell. That time is short however, and as John Wayne once said in a movie I once watched, “Hold it, this thing Ain’t over yet”.
Thais my point of view. Whats your view. Drop a line. If not that’s OK too because as usual……………We’ll see ya on the Web!
Have a good night………….And God Bless America.