The United States faces so much trouble in the world. It sometimes make me wonder just how it is we avoid confrontation. Regardless of what others might say, we are a patient nation. There is Syria, then you have Iran, and now the likes of North Korea, all rattling their swords at the same time. Yet, while attempting to deal with these hostile situations, we are slowly working our way out of Afghanistan,
Syria is in the midst of a full-scale civil war. Only problem is the military is is not just fighting an armed opposition. They have decided to attack their own people. Won ton attacks designed specifically to terrorize innocent people have killed an estimated 70 thousand people.
Then there is Iran, perhaps our least important problem at the moment. They persist in threatening Israel, and are of course seeking nuclear weapons to accomplish it. So far however, we have avoided a war between the two. However, Israel has made it clear that a nuclear Iran is not acceptable. Israel therefore reserves the right to resolve the problem on their own if negotiations do not bring Iran to their senses.
The newest kid on the block though is my major concern. This new leader in North Korea is a serious problem because no one really knows him. He is much like his father, and grandfather before, create a ruckus, rattle your sword, get hush money, and come back again later for more. Same tactic, same game. But this younger new comer, has carried North Korea to the very brink of war,. They have all but declared war on South Korea. Threatened to attack Japan, Hawaii, Guam, as well as main land United States. For what? I am still trying to figure that one out. It all started when the new leader decided to go nuclear, and declared he would be nuclear capable very soon. His missile tests, and saber-rattling have advanced now to a stage where it would seem that there is no way but forward. He might have backed himself in to a corner. He is a dangerous man, obviously playing a game he does not know how to play. His nearest alley, China has even demanded that he tone down the rhetoric, but to no avail. Today he has closed the border, shutting down a joint venture Industrial park. So far troops have not advanced on the border, but i would venture to say that this might be the next move the kid makes. He does not strike me as all that bright. The United States has made it clear we will defend South Korea, as well as Japan. China urges continued negotiations. Russia, well they too have said that talks are the way to avoid military confrontation. The United States says they are for that, only problem is, the North Korean leader is not listening.
Currant hot spot on the map. No doubt North Korea.
Chances of military confrontation…….75, maybe 80%
It is a very serious situation that could bring in Japan, China as well as Russia. It is no doubt a confrontation that no party is all that interested in. It is also a confrontation that North Korea is sure to lose in the end.
That’s my point of view, I look forward to your insights on the issues of the day.